{"id":3476,"date":"2023-03-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-14T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bolsacer.org.ar\/site\/cosechamos-la-soja-si-o-no\/"},"modified":"2023-03-14T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2023-03-14T00:00:00","slug":"cosechamos-la-soja-si-o-no","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bolsacer.org.ar\/site\/cosechamos-la-soja-si-o-no\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfCosechamos la soja, si o no?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\" font-weight: bold;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span>La Bolsa de Cereales de Entre R&iacute;os y la Facultad de Ciencias Econ&oacute;micas de Universidad Nacional de Entre R&iacute;os, efectuaron el siguiente informe con el objetivo de analizar las decisiones de cosecha para el cultivo de soja seg&uacute;n los impactos productivos por la sequ&iacute;a.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Teniendo en cuenta el &uacute;ltimo informe del Sistema de Informaci&oacute;n de Bolsa de Cereales de Entre R&iacute;os (SIBER) que presenta los rendimientos esperados de los cultivos de soja en torno a los 1.000 kg\/ha utilizando los datos de colaboradores, y a su vez, con el complemento de un modelo predictivo a partir de tecnolog&iacute;a satelital, que estima en base al &iacute;ndice NDVI (&Iacute;ndice de vegetaci&oacute;n de diferencia normalizada) rendimientos cercanos a los 250 kg\/ha. Cabe aclarar que dicha informaci&oacute;n refiere a valores promedios, es decir que para el caso particular de cada productor puede variar obteniendo rindes por hect&aacute;rea por encima o por debajo de los promedios mencionados.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Al tratarse de valores hist&oacute;ricamente bajos, cabe preguntarnos si es conveniente para ciertos productores que obtengan rendimientos inferiores a los promedios efectuar la cosecha, debido a que conlleva un costo, sumado a la comercializaci&oacute;n del grano.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"font-size: medium;\">Para responder esta pregunta se utiliza el cuadro de resultados econ&oacute;micos por hect&aacute;rea, donde el ingreso depende los rendimientos obtenidos y el precio del grano al momento de cosecha; en segunda instancia tenemos a los costos que incluye aquellos referidos a la siembra, arrendamiento, comercializaci&oacute;n y cosecha. Los dos primeros se tratan de erogaciones ya ejecutadas o comprometidas por los productores, mientras que los costos de comercializaci&oacute;n y cosecha no se efect&uacute;an en caso de que se decida no realizar la cosecha. De esta forma, para que resulte conveniente realizar la cosecha se deber&aacute; dar la siguiente condici&oacute;n: INGRESO &gt; (COMERCIALIZACI&Oacute;N + COSECHA)<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span>Se puede realizar un ejercicio con los valores obtenidos en el informe del SIBER: con un rendimiento de 250 kg\/ha y un precio a cosecha de 400 u$s por tonelada, tendr&iacute;amos un ingreso de u$s 100 por hect&aacute;rea, descontando u$s 12 de comercializaci&oacute;n y u$s 60 de cosecha; nos dar&iacute;a un resultado de u$s 28 d&oacute;lares por hect&aacute;rea. Cabe aclarar, que dicho resultado no se trata de un beneficio econ&oacute;mico, faltar&iacute;an descontar costos sumamente relevantes como los referidos a siembra (labores e insumos), arrendamiento (si corresponde), y otros no menos importantes que definen el margen neto como impuestos, gastos de estructura, etc. Lo que se quiere transmitir es que, obteniendo este rinde, s&iacute; resulta conveniente efectuar la cosecha, ya que esos u$s 28 por hect&aacute;rea pueden ser utilizados para afrontar los dem&aacute;s costos. Para un caso de soja de primera en campo propio, el margen bruto es de u$s -359 si se cosecha y u$s -387 si no se cosecha, por lo tanto resulta una buena decisi&oacute;n efectuar la cosecha para disminuir p&eacute;rdidas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/qZYpGr-KTseUDJIQV6fKTJV0A_FWOYgqEl4JmoIbT0VQqsKue96iJgPkBlmFh5pgAc_-ZLYxP6ngUIMKnk2otYQM7yZWp_DUU7sXJmkU9AnPa_pFJq19aj6g6xMyh9V1Wh2HjoRCsZ34mqK7U7TUAHg\" alt=\"\" width=\"602\" height=\"252\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span>Las variables que van a definir el &ldquo;punto de equilibrio&rdquo; de rendimientos por hect&aacute;rea a partir del cu&aacute;l resulte conveniente cosechar puede ir cambiando seg&uacute;n: el precio de la oleaginosa y los gastos de cosecha que se negocien con el contratista. Para ello se propone el siguiente cuadro de an&aacute;lisis de sensibilidad:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\" dir=\"ltr\"><span><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/dYhaZQ454AOVjv-LFjRMHnzDc6WuHKvB8E9kPWLLFDFsNl14BMIJsoLwtt_Oau9b0Vz9wn4Ho3ZbUuRnGh0B5OQkHkqz5muapEeDpD6nBfYG9n800MV2-VgmrnOjeaTU_PUvMKMMpIaV51jAJ7kx-I4\" alt=\"\" width=\"602\" height=\"263\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span><span><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La Bolsa de Cereales de Entre R&iacute;os y la Facultad de Ciencias Econ&oacute;micas de Universidad Nacional de Entre R&iacute;os, efectuaron&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3477,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad-institucional","category-todas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfCosechamos la soja, si o no? 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